| January 25 (Sunday) | 
              
                | 
                  
                    | -Get Together | 5:00pm - 8:00 |  | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | January 26 (Monday) | 
              
                | 
                  
                    | -Introduction | 8:30am - 9:20 |  | 
              
                |  | NAGAHAMA, Y. (Chair of OBC Committee, National Institute for Basic Biology(NIBB), Japan ) Welcome Address and Introduction to Okazaki Biology Conferences
 | 
              
                |  |  | 
              
                |  | IWASA, Y. (Organizer, Kyushu , Japan ) PIMM, S.(Organizer, Duke , USA )
 Introduction to The Biology of Extinction
 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 1 (Historic and Prehistoric extinctions) | 
              
                | 9:20am - 12:10pm  | 
              
                | S1-1 FLANNERY, T. ( Adelaide , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | The timing and ongoing impact of megafaunal extinction in Australia | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 10:10am - 10:30 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S1-2 JACKSON, J. ( Scripps , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Caribbean Marine Extinctions on Different Time Scales: The Changing Roles of Geology, Climate, and People | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S1-3 CHIBA , S. ( Tohoku , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Extinction of genes, populations and fossil species | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Lunch Time 12:10pm - 1:10 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 2 (Phylogenetic approaches to extinction and the consequences of non-random Species loss) | 
              
                | 1:10pm - 4:50 | 
              
                | S2-1 NEE, S. ( Edinburgh , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Phylogenetic perspectives on the latest mass extinction | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S2-2 SHAFFER, H.B. (UC Davis , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Phylogenetic approaches to the study of extinction-recolonization dynamics | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 2:50pm - 3:10 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S2-3 PURVIS, A. ( Imperial College , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Phylogenetic comparative studies of extinction risk in mammals | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S2-4 TAKAHASHI, K. (NIBB, Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Ancient Radiation of African Cichlids? - Evidence from Retroposons | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Welcome Party 5:30pm - 7:30 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | January 27 (Tuesday) | 
              
                | 
                  
                    | -Announcement | 8:30am - 8:40 |  | 
              
                | -Session 3 (Mechanisms of maintenance and production of species diversity) | 
              
                | 8:40am - 11:30 | 
              
                | S3-1 COLWELL, R. ( Connecticut , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Modeling endemism, species richness and extinction on geographic scales | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S3-2 BROOKS, T. (Conservation International) | 
              
                |  | Contemporary global species Extinctions | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 10:20am - 10:40 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S3-3 RUSSELL, G. ( Columbia , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Community Canalization: One Reason Why Communities are Not Critical | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 4 (Populations and extinction risk) | 
              
                | 11:30am - 5:00  | 
              
                | S4-1 LANDE, R. (UC San Diego , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Dynamics of extinction in stochastic population models | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Lunch Time 12:20pm - 1:20 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S4-2 SHIMADA, M. ( Tokyo , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | 
              
                |  | Information transfer and extinction risk assessment of the endangered herb, Aster kantoensis | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S4-3 HALLEY, J.M. ( Aristotle , Greece ) | 
              
                |  | Reddening of Environmental Variability: Some Implications for Extinction Forecasts | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 3:00pm - 3:20 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S4-4 HANSKI, I. ( Helsinki , Finland ) | 
              
                |  | Eroding viability of metapopulations in fragmented landscapes | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S4-5 KUNIN, W. E. ( Leeds , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Spatial and temporal autocorrelation in extinction risk | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | January 28 (Wednesday) | 
              
                | 
                  
                    | -Announcement | 8:30am - 8:40 |  | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Poster session (Selected poster presenters will be requested to speak on Friday Morning) | 
              
                | 8:40am - 12:20pm  | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Excursion 12:30pm - 5:00 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | January 29 (Thursday) | 
              
                | -Announcement 8:30am - 8:40 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 5 (Mechanisms of population extinction: genetical approaches) | 
              
                | 8:40am - 11:30  | 
              
                | S5-1 FRANKHAM, R. ( Macquarie , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Genetics and extinction | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S5-2 WASHITANI, I. ( Tokyo , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Toward predicting demographic and evolutionary fate of a population threatened: Primula Eco-Genome Project. | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 10:20am - 10:40 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S5-3 TOMIMATSU, H. ( Hokkaido , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Demographic and genetic consequences of forest fragmentation in the common understory berbaceous perennial Trillium camschatcense | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 6 (Toward developmental biology of extinction: molecular biology of extinction enhanced by morphological specialization) | 
              
                | 11:30am - 5:00pm  | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S6-1 VOSS, S. ( Kentucky , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Metamorphic timing in ambystomatid salamanders: Swimming the thin line between adaptation and extinction | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Lunch Time 12:20pm - 1:20 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S6-2 WILKENS, H. ( Hamburg , Germany ) | 
              
                |  | Are cave animals an evolutionary dead end? | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S6-3 YAHARA, T. ( Kyushu , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Struggling with Red Queen: parasites, climatic changes, and human disturbance | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 3:00pm - 3:20 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S6-4 VRIJENHOEK, RC. (Monterey Bay Aquarium Res. Inst., USA ) | 
              
                |  | Do Asexual Animals Face Evolutionary Dead Ends? | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Panel discussion 4:10pm - 5:00 | 
              
                | lead by YAHARA, T. ( Kyushu , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Discussion 5:00pm - 5:15 | 
              
                | Discussion on Subsequent Conference of the Series | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Conference Dinner 5:45pm - 7:45 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | January 30 (Friday) | 
              
                | -Announcement 8:30am - 8:40 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 7 (A session for short talks (8 talks), which will be selected among poster presenters) | 
              
                | 8:40am - 12:20pm | 
              
                | 4 talks | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 10:20am - 10:40 | 
              
                | 4 talks | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Lunch Time 12:20pm - 1:20 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Session 8 (Consequences of extinction) | 
              
                | 1:20pm - 5:00  | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S8-1 NAEEM, S. ( Columbia , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Living an increasingly unreliable world: The ecosystem consequences of biodiversity loss. | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S8-2 ROOT, T. ( Stanford , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Ecological Consequences of Global Warming: Past and Future | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | -Coffee Break 3:00pm - 3:20 | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S8-3 THOMAS, C. ( Leeds , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Extinction risk and climate change | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | S8-4 PIMM, S. ( Duke , USA ) | 
              
                |  | The biology of extinction | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | Poster Presenters | 
              
                | P-1 AKCAKAYA, H. R. (Applied Biomathematics , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Predicting Extinction Risks in Dynamic Landscapes | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-2 BROOK, B. W. ( Northern Territory , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Extinction "thresholds": minimum viable population sizes for 1341 species | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-3 CARDILLO, M. ( Imperial College , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Predicting global extinction risk in mammals | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-4 COLEGRAVE, N. ( Edinburgh , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Evolutionary consequences of environmental enrichment for diversity | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-5 COOPER, S. ( South Australian Museum , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Is extinction always catastrophic? Surface extinction of water beetle (Dytiscidae) populations in the arid zone of Western Australia coincides with groundwater radiations | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-6 COURCHAMP, F. ( Paris , France ) | 
              
                |  | Biological invasions as a major cause of species extinction through direct and indirect effects | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-7 DUNN, R. ( Curtin , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Where are all the extinct insects and why don't we know? | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-8 EDA, M. ( Tokyo , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Reconstructing original population structure of a nearly extinct seabird, the Short-tailed Albatross, from zooarchaeological remains | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-9 ETIENNE, R. ( Groningen , The Netherlands ) | 
              
                |  | A novel genealogical approach to neutral biodiversity theory | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-10 HAKOYAMA, H. ( Yokohama , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Coexistence of a sexual and a unisexual form of the Japanese crucian carp, Carassius auratus. | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-11 HASEBE, M. (NIBB, Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Evolution and divergence of MADS-box gene family based on genome wide expression analyses -extinction of genes- | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-12 HELGEN, K. ( Adelaide , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Dfficulties of documenting extinction: why mammal extinction in the modern era is underestimated | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-13 IKEDA, H. (NIAES, Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Adaptive significance of dimorphism in seed dispersal by water in a threatened aquatic plant Penthorum chinense. | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-14 INCHAUSTI, P. ( Rennes , France ) | 
              
                |  | The importance of temporal variability and spectral redness on the persistence of animal populations : from data to models. | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-15 ISHIHAMA, F. ( Tokyo , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Spatially structured model for pollen flow in an endangered bumblebee-pollinated herb, Primula sieboldii | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-16 IWASA, Y. ( Kyushu , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | How to Combine the Extinction Risk of Different Populations? | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-17 JETZ, W. ( New Mexico , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Avian extinctions in a future, warmer world | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-18 KAWATA, M. ( Tohoku , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Mechanical and behavioral reproductive isolation in Carabid betteles | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-19 KOH, L-P. (Singapore , Singapore) | 
              
                |  | Predicting extinction proneness of Southeast Asian tropical butterflies | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-20 MACMYNOWSKI, D. ( Stanford , USA ) | 
              
                |  | How vulnerable are North American migratory songbirds to climate change? | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-21 MASUDA, M. ( Nagoya IT, Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Genetic diversity of Penthorum chinense population restoration by digging in the river bed | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-22 MATSUDA, H. ( Tokyo , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Runaway evolution to self-extinction under asymmetric competition | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-23 MCCARTHY, M. (Univ. Melbourne , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Theory for designing nature reserves | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-24 MOCHIZUKI, A. (NIBB, Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Analytical study for steady states of general gene networks | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-25 NATUHARA, Y. ( Osaka , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Extinction risk of Metapopulation of the clouded salamander, Hynobius nebulosus | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-26 OTA, H. ( Ryukyu , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Recent extinction of terrestrial vertebrates in the Ryukyu Archipelago: a synthesis of paleontological and neontological data | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-27 ROBERTS, C. ( York , UK ) | 
              
                |  | Marine species-area relationships and extinction risk in the sea | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-28 ROOPNARINE, P.D. ( Cal. Acad. Sci. , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Extinction, diversity, and the evolution of ecology through geological time | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-29 ROY, K. ( San Diego , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Extinction selectivity: differences between natural and anthropogenic extinctions | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-30 SAETHER, B-E. ( Trondheim , Norway ) | 
              
                |  | Life history variation and time to extinction of bird populations | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-31 SCHNEIDER, S. H. ( Stanford , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Climate 2100: Mild or Catastrophic For Biodiversity? | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-32 SODHI, N. S. ( Singapore , Singapore ) | 
              
                |  | Massive biotic extinctions in Singapore | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-33 STRECKER, U. ( Hamburg , Germany ) | 
              
                |  | The Cyprinodon species flock (Teleostei): adaptive radiation following an extreme bottleneck | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-34 TAINAKA, K. ( Shizuoka , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Perturbation expansion and optimized death rate in a lattice ecosystem: ecological apoptosis | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-35 TANAKA, Y. ( Chuo , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Ecological risk assessment of pollutant chemicals by extinction probability | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-36 TOMIMATSU, H. ( Hokkaido , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Demographic and genetic consequences of forest fragmentation in the common understory herbaceous perennial Trillium camschatcense | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-37 TSUJI, N. (NIES, Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Regional and local predicitons of animal habitats in actual landscapes | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-38 WEISROCK, D. ( Kentucky , USA ) | 
              
                |  | Molecular phylogenetic tests of historical extinction in salamanders | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-39 WILCOX, C. ( Queensland , Australia ) | 
              
                |  | Metapopulations in a dynamic habitat: examining the effect of habitat catastrophes on persistence | 
              
                |  | 
              
                | P-40 YOKOMIZO, H. ( Kyushu , Japan ) | 
              
                |  | Multiple Year Optimization of Conservation Effort and Monitoring of the Population Size in a Fluctuating Environment. |